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2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)Democrats Have Mixed Feelings on 2020 Field [View all]
On one hand they say they want a younger candidate, one who's never run for President. 57% of Democrats say they want their candidate to be under the age of 60, and 77% say they want their candidate to be under the age of 70. Only 8% actually want a candidate who's in their 70s, with another 15% expressing no opinion in regards to the age of their candidate.
Beyond wanting a younger candidate, only 25% of Democrats say they want their candidate in 2020 to be someone who has run for President before. 41% would prefer someone who's never run before, and 34% say they're not sure one way or the other.
But despite saying that they generically want a younger candidate who hasn't run for President before, the top 2 choices of Democrats for 2020 at this very early stage are...people in their 70s who have run for President before.
Joe Biden leads the way for Democrats with 31% to 24% for Bernie Sanders, and 16% for Elizabeth Warren. They're the only folks we tested with meaningful support for the nomination at this point. Cory Booker gets 4%, Al Franken and Kirsten Gillibrand each get 3%, Sherrod Brown and Andrew Cuomo each get 2%, and Julian Castro gets less than 1%.
Beyond wanting a younger candidate, only 25% of Democrats say they want their candidate in 2020 to be someone who has run for President before. 41% would prefer someone who's never run before, and 34% say they're not sure one way or the other.
But despite saying that they generically want a younger candidate who hasn't run for President before, the top 2 choices of Democrats for 2020 at this very early stage are...people in their 70s who have run for President before.
Joe Biden leads the way for Democrats with 31% to 24% for Bernie Sanders, and 16% for Elizabeth Warren. They're the only folks we tested with meaningful support for the nomination at this point. Cory Booker gets 4%, Al Franken and Kirsten Gillibrand each get 3%, Sherrod Brown and Andrew Cuomo each get 2%, and Julian Castro gets less than 1%.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/12/democrats-have-mixed-feelings-on-2020-field.html
My two cents: Booker and Gillibrand will have a much easier time getting greater name recognition than Sanders, Biden and Warren will in getting younger.
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Booker (51 years old, good speaker) seems like a good value if one is placing bets. nt
geek tragedy
Dec 2016
#3
Obama's at 59% approval, Trump is at 41%, and it's only going to go down from there.
geek tragedy
Dec 2016
#6
we have plenty of rising stars, but when you are scared like we are now
La Lioness Priyanka
Dec 2016
#22
That obviously wasn't what the poster meant. In context, it's crystal clear what was meant.
KittyWampus
Dec 2016
#53
Since you're up on him more than i am, isn't he involved in bridgegate somehow?
dionysus
Dec 2016
#63
Newsome is Lt. Governor of California and will run to replace Jerry Brown as Governor
Auggie
Dec 2016
#11
democrats are scared and hurting and are holding on to people for comfort
La Lioness Priyanka
Dec 2016
#19
Remember when Booker claimed President Obama was being too hard on rich people?
DemocraticWing
Dec 2016
#29
It's Cuomo's race to lose if Bernie doesn't run. Booker would round out the top 3 and would be the
coolbreeze77
Dec 2016
#28
I agree that HRC is retired but give her a break. It is hard to lose an election where
StevieM
Dec 2016
#45
I love Hillary but I think she is retired. And she has earned the rest after the horrible way that
StevieM
Dec 2016
#43
Sherrod Brown-Kamala Harris for 8 years. Followed by Harris and someone else for 8 years.
Garrett78
Dec 2016
#40
2018 will be a referendum on the majority party, in this case Trumpublicans
Proud Liberal Dem
Dec 2016
#48