Chinese invasion of Taiwan 'imminent,' warns US

[Shipwack]

32. Is it a real threat? Yes, I suppose.

China does really want Taiwan back as a fully integrated state. The chance of an invasion is non-zero.

However:
1) Though they probably , but not definitely, could win it back, it would not be easy and it would be costly for both sides.
2) An invasion would probably destroy the factories and institutions that make Taiwan such a prize. Is its existence an embarrassment to China? Yes. Is national pride sufficient reason alone to invade? If I could accurately answer that I’d be living in Virginia and committing to a well paying job in DC. 😉
3) The Chinese government has more impulse control in its little finger than Trump et al has ever had. They are able to play the long game. The very long game. The newest generation of Taiwan youth don’t see China the same way their elders do. Give it another few decades, and they’ll probably ask to join the mainland.