A 50-foot wall can't stop a 200-foot wave
Look, I hate the redistricting war going on and the Republicans may redistrict themselves into a 5 or 6 seat net redistricting gain. But the polls suggest otherwise when you look at the 435-seat result. And it's not just the polls, but recent elections that convince me. Statewide Governors' races, State Supreme Court elections, State Senate, special Congressional elections and more. The Dems have averaged a plus 12 overperformance in election after election all across the nation.
The most recent generic polls have shown as little as a D+3 (CNN) to a D+15 (Atlas Intel). I'm comfortable with a guess of D+12 if the election was held today. But I think things will get worse for Trump and the Republicans and you can't redistrict a double-digit generic loss to a Congressional majority.
A 50-foot wall can't stop a 200-foot wave.